i-TSM Staking Plan
The i-TSM Staking Plan is a dynamic betting strategy that adjusts stake sizes based on the moving average of your strike rate over recent bets. This approach allows for stake modulation in response to performance fluctuations, aiming to optimize profitability and manage risk effectively.
Key Features of the i-TSM Staking Plan:
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Expected Strike Rate: Establish an expected strike rate for your betting system. For example, if your system has a 28% strike rate, this figure serves as the benchmark for stake adjustments.
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Moving Average Calculation: Monitor your strike rate over specified intervals—such as the last 10, 20, 30, or 50 bets—to determine the moving average. This metric informs whether to increase or decrease stakes.
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Stake Adjustment Mechanism:
- If the moving average strike rate falls below the expected rate, stakes are increased incrementally.
- Conversely, if the moving average exceeds the expected rate, stakes can be decreased.
- Adjustments are typically made in percentages of the initial stake. For instance, a 10% increase on a £1 stake results in an additional £0.10.
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Customisation Options: The plan allows for flexibility in determining the percentage adjustments per interval.
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Bankroll Linkage: Optionally, the starting stake can be linked to the cumulative total, enabling stakes to scale in proportion to bankroll growth.
Implementation Example:
Assume a starting bankroll of £100 and an expected strike rate of 28%, with an initial stake set at 1% (£1).
- If the strike rate over the last 10 bets is below 28%, increase the stake by 10% of £1, resulting in a £0.10 addition.
- If the strike rate over the last 20 bets is below 28%, add another 20% of £1 (£0.20).
- Continue this pattern for the 30 and 50-bet intervals, adding 30% (£0.30) and 40% (£0.40) respectively if the strike rates are below 28%.
The total stake would then be the sum of the initial £1 plus any applicable increments, adjusted according to performance metrics.
In the settings above we have changed the strike rate to 28%. This is based on a selection system with a 28% Strike Rate.
The rest of the settings have been left at default.
The start stake is 1% of £100 which is £1.
If the strike rate is > than 28% then the stake is left at £1.
If the overall strike rate is < than 28% than the stake is left at £1.
If the strike rate for the last 10 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 10% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 10p.
If the strike rate for the last 20 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 20% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 20p.
If the strike rate for the last 30 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 30% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 30p.
If the strike rate for the last 50 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 40% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 40p.
The total additions/subtractions to the initial stake are totalled up and added to the default £1 stake.
You can also do the reverse of the above and decrease stakes. You can also increase stakes when the strike rate is above the expected strike rate.
The last thing you can do is link the Starting Stake to the Cumulative total. So as the Cumulative total increases so does your stakes.
