Lay Percentage Recovery Liab (Lay % Rec Liab) Staking Plan
The Lay Percentage Recovery Liability Staking Plan (Lay % Rec Liab) aims to recover your losses over a set number of cycles and bets. It is similar to the standard Lay Percentage Recovery Staking Plan but instead of staking to a percentage of the bank we adjust the initial stake for percentage of liability of the bank. Once in a Recovery Cycle we can either continue to stake to a liability or revert to standard staking.
The settings below are set for 5% Liability of the Start Bank. This means the liability of the first bet will be £5. No other settings are checked and we are using liability even in a recovery cycle.
Staking Plan Example Settings
Staking Plan Example Results
The odds of the first bet are 4.2. Our first stake is calculated as liability divided by odds -1.
£5 / (4.2 -1) = £1.56
The bet wins. The next bet is therefore the same method.
£5 / (3.1-1) = £2.38
This bet loses. The series deficit is £5 and we now enter the 1st Recovery Cycle over 4 bets.
£5 / 4 = £1.25
This is our liability for the next 4 recovery bets (if they all win). Note that unless the odds of each bet are under 2 you will not recover the full series deficit using these settings.
The odds for the 3rd bet is 4.2. Therefore the stake is
£1.25 / (4.2-1 ) = £0.39
This bet also loses. This means our series deficit is now £5 + £1.25 = £6.25
We now enter the 2nd Recovery Cycle over 4 bets.
£6.25 / 4 = £1.57
This is our liability for the next 4 recovery bets (if they all win). Note once more that unless the odds of each bet are under 2 you will not recover the full series deficit using these settings.
The odds for the 4th bet is 3.19. Therefore our stake is
£1.57 / (3.19-1) = £0.71
This bet wins. We are now on bet 2 of the 2nd Recovery Cycle. Bet 5 odds are 2.8. The stake is therefore
£1.57 / (2.8-1) = £0.87
This bet also wins. We now move onto the 3rd bet of the 2nd Recovery Cycle. Bet 6 odds are 1.95. This means the stake is
£1.57 / (1.95-1) = £1.64
This bet loses. This means that we would go into a 3rd Recovery Cycle if our settings allowed us. However our settings are set as 2 (cycles). Therefore we exit the Recovery Cycle and start again whilst cutting our losses.
Bet 7 Odds are 2.81. This means our stake is
£5 / (2.81 -1) = £2.76
The important part to take away from these settings is that you will never recover the series deficit if your average odds are greater than 2. This is because we are staking to a liability even in a Recovery Cycle. In Example 2 we will look at what happens when we revert to default staking during a recovery cycle.
Our sister software – The Bet Machine – TBM was released in 2020. Every Back/Lay Staking Plan in TSM is available to use in The Bet Machine.
Used in conjunction with Gruss Betting Assistant, TBM is compatible with both Betfair and Betdaq Betting Exchange.
TBM incorporates Race Card data for UK/IRE Horse Racing and UK Greyhound Racing.
Create your own Horse and Greyhound Selection Systems in TBM by using the built in System Builder tool – Selection Hunter. Back Test your designed systems and find your edge.